CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a26959d212040325ddc4bea2f7c09bcd73c5a73e3af5dde0973cff605857fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hashiras | 3c | 728$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 50c | 481.01$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Hashiras | 50c | 481.01$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 57c | 299.55$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hashiras | 6c | 224$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked STATE | 80c | 181.72$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Hashiras | 15c | 176.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Hashiras | 6c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hashiras | 18c | 165.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…cbdcbacked Hashiras | 76c | 132.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hashiras | 17c | 117.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…ed42backed Hashiras | 20c | 82.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Hashiras | 78c | 81.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed STATE | 75c | 35.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hashiras | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Hashiras | 57c | 21.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…3281backed Hashiras | 65c | 19.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Hashiras | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.