Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd22c37d3ab6e1376fa49ca859659543a9ce1b739ed1ca68bb766df37203d05a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 2,599$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 1c | 2,180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 51c | 2,143$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,707$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf583…0a4cbacked Over | 17c | 910.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 16c | 519$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.96 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 40c | 167.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 39c | 106.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 86.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 68.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…642fbacked Under | 57c | 44.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 74c | 33.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 64c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.