South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd22ec995d8412c1b19226e062225c44b739d8f3423aa42a2631a7608c0b05666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750 | 322 | 42.5%137 W · 185 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 37c | 24,482$9,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,423.66 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 1,973$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 1,168$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.36 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 15c | 469.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 35c | 440.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 23c | 268.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 38c | 212.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 194.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 161.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…0f44backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 37c | 51.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 44.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 37c | 40.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 53c | 35.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a99abacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…d675backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…f5dcbacked Yes | 63c | 22.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will FC Juárez vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.