Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers vs. Oregon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd369371d6b558420c9335bbb951a20b25506a1bb96fab589adc94d331769cbf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregonof Rutgers, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Oregon | 78c | 15,829$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.62 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rutgers | 21c | 11,846$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.19 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rutgers | 23c | 1,230$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rutgers | 23c | 853$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Rutgers | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rutgers | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Rutgers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Rutgers | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rutgers | 26c | 204.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rutgers | 26c | 183.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…52debacked Oregon | 60c | 94.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rutgers | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed Oregon | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…85e2backed Rutgers | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Oregon | 76c | 59.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…2dd2backed Rutgers | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed Rutgers | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Oregon | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Rutgers | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…53b3backed Rutgers | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…4869backed Rutgers | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Oregon | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…d3eabacked Oregon | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…3342backed Oregon | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…d098backed Rutgers | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oregon | 75c | 35.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…8957backed Oregon | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…5da1backed Oregon | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…02e0backed Oregon | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…a4e5backed Oregon | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…bb95backed Oregon | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…13c0backed Oregon | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…dfd2backed Oregon | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…2d05backed Oregon | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3086…325bbacked Oregon | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…ea8bbacked Oregon | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…6deabacked Oregon | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…604dbacked Oregon | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…bf5bbacked Oregon | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…ec2bbacked Oregon | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.