Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford vs. Notre Dame
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c32ad7491d00e54b26c4634c3a77ff2449033d8451b6779111bf124fab3ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dameof Stanford, Notre Dame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0693…7be4backed Notre Dame | 51c | 1,202$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…f730backed Stanford | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…d1ffbacked Stanford | 49c | 617$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202a…7779backed Notre Dame | 51c | 374$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Notre Dame | 49c | 325$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Notre Dame | 46c | 231$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stanford | 50c | 228.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…69b6backed Notre Dame | 50c | 181$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a5…d159backed Notre Dame | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…14debacked Stanford | 52c | 146$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…6afebacked Notre Dame | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…d1d9backed Notre Dame | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…7aebbacked Stanford | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…561bbacked Stanford | 49c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…8547backed Stanford | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…bc10backed Stanford | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…77f0backed Stanford | 54c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Notre Dame | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…0b7dbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…3170backed Stanford | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…ace3backed Notre Dame | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…5078backed Notre Dame | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…5b7abacked Notre Dame | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…b1fcbacked Stanford | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…6a18backed Stanford | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…530abacked Stanford | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c54abacked Stanford | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…4e52backed Stanford | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Stanford | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…5b70backed Stanford | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…8060backed Notre Dame | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062f…deb6backed Stanford | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…607cbacked Stanford | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…eae2backed Stanford | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…2332backed Notre Dame | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…b756backed Stanford | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…1164backed Stanford | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…ebfabacked Stanford | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…e1f3backed Notre Dame | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…5260backed Stanford | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…611dbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6a…83acbacked Notre Dame | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…2ab9backed Stanford | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…d119backed Notre Dame | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…794fbacked Stanford | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…6217backed Stanford | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7717…6ddcbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…a0bfbacked Stanford | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…adbfbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…3f23backed Stanford | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…1ffcbacked Notre Dame | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…4754backed Stanford | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…9ee1backed Notre Dame | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…9a1bbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…aad0backed Stanford | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…0f8dbacked Stanford | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadab…b1a0backed Notre Dame | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…f3e6backed Stanford | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…6437backed Notre Dame | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…f021backed Stanford | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…ef43backed Stanford | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…0d8abacked Stanford | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…3bc9backed Notre Dame | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…d658backed Notre Dame | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…981dbacked Notre Dame | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…2191backed Stanford | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…592abacked Notre Dame | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…be5dbacked Notre Dame | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…f379backed Stanford | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…4d69backed Stanford | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…ae27backed Stanford | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…7f2cbacked Stanford | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…3ab8backed Notre Dame | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…6780backed Notre Dame | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…6d32backed Stanford | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c42…ed15backed Stanford | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac2…f34dbacked Stanford | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…9938backed Notre Dame | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f2…72a4backed Stanford | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c83…c089backed Stanford | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.