Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd40c90f22b4750143919cb89c3a22cb706e807ee63bcaf7491016ae31e838dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,299$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 60c | 1,770$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 62c | 1,364$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 38c | 768.76$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.88 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 38c | 444$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 61c | 335.29$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Under | 58c | 249$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 37c | 128.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…bb87backed Over | 63c | 93.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 18c | 69.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 63c | 49.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 38c | 37.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 42c | 30.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 60c | 22.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9f…f10bbacked Over | 62c | 18.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-0.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.