Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd44c8c4428cafbbe4ad983ff7ad935c58769ca44702af6b77cfc69a3770ae633
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SoloTeamof Miposhka Team, SoloTeam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Miposhka Team | 20c | 341.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed SoloTeam | 68c | 174.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 157.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…8e43backed SoloTeam | 65c | 156.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Miposhka Team | 14c | 143.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Miposhka Team | 11c | 119.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Miposhka Team | 65c | 79.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1d8dbacked SoloTeam | 65c | 77.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…8527backed SoloTeam | 35c | 74.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed Miposhka Team | 35c | 74.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed SoloTeam | 67c | 61.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed Miposhka Team | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Miposhka Team | 72c | 27.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Miposhka Team | 65c | 27.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…1678backed SoloTeam | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 WinnerSoloTeam won
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam - Game 2 WinnerSoloTeam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.