CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46b6b3dc962dfd7e7077c30f4087f2b67173483f4c85f3d13286a08bef99a2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Isurus, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Turma do Pagode | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Turma do Pagode | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Turma do Pagode | 67c | 942.04$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.6 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Isurus | 32c | 897.37$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.21 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 68c | 730.24$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.56 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Isurus | 33c | 594.03$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.31 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Turma do Pagode | 71c | 512.08$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.79 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Isurus | 32c | 303.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 14c | 239.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Turma do Pagode | 76c | 113.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isurus | 29c | 106.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Isurus | 21c | 105.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed Isurus | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Turma do Pagode | 68c | 95.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Turma do Pagode | 54c | 93.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Turma do Pagode | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Isurus | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Isurus | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Isurus | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Turma do Pagode | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Isurus | 26c | 39.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Turma do Pagode | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Turma do Pagode | 68c | 22.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Turma do Pagode | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.