TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida vs. Alabama

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Floridaof Florida, Alabama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama59c298.17$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1753057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Alabama59c257.29$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.842948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Florida41c257.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.83342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…f88dbacked Alabama59c237$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Florida41c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11910236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc103…81e8backed Florida40c173.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f9…9782backed Alabama60c164$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd99b…8e5abacked Alabama61c127.76$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df2…1541backed Florida54c105$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Florida31c89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef4…6df0backed Florida40c89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.45100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13ff…f8afbacked Alabama46c81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e75…523fbacked Alabama50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b8…c783backed Florida41c75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfafd…9de3backed Florida40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb677…6db4backed Alabama71c74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Florida40c66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.660551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691c…e746backed Florida42c64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick56cpaid+86.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b9…9aeabacked Alabama46c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…ace3backed Florida44c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+122.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8372…088fbacked Florida34c51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…8b7abacked Alabama50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9841…2cd9backed Florida33c48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001e…7ff5backed Florida33c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x531a…9a1bbacked Alabama58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9605…e254backed Florida33c43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380e…1dd1backed Alabama56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5e…8733backed Alabama56c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284e…c54abacked Florida41c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…2357backed Florida41c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa612…0330backed Florida41c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf07…65efbacked Alabama66c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f4…89fabacked Alabama71c34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433c…52dabacked Florida54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…c595backed Florida50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…27d0backed Alabama58c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4232…1e0dbacked Alabama46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b4…d144backed Florida50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c6…5d57backed Florida50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2c…cd3cbacked Florida44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ff…678abacked Florida42c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe396…e3a0backed Alabama67c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbf…a9cebacked Florida50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc088…f5b4backed Florida42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef4…3ec6backed Florida50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+68%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb6b…7fd4backed Florida42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…aee8backed Alabama66c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5c…8a23backed Florida41c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d0…e489backed Alabama46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3a…b07dbacked Florida44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7472…650abacked Florida44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x517f…763ebacked Florida44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf0…7b07backed Alabama46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec4…aaafbacked Florida42c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabc…d0efbacked Florida50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454f…2a8abacked Alabama50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fe…2313backed Florida50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5687…a5c0backed Alabama46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb7…1b00backed Alabama50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125d…80bdbacked Florida54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Florida40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510558.1%61 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf20…35e9backed Florida42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+93.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9737…00e4backed Alabama71c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1c1…d791backed Alabama66c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa753…f194backed Alabama58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e77…156dbacked Alabama71c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe9…539cbacked Florida54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2247…8c20backed Florida54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff45…ee1dbacked Alabama67c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc4…ce01backed Alabama56c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b8…6d32backed Alabama56c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa468…9d0cbacked Alabama58c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d12…f91bbacked Alabama66c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4324…cfddbacked Alabama56c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…f1adbacked Florida54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb262…4277backed Alabama50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5760…5ba1backed Alabama50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe2…049dbacked Alabama67c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Alabama59c21.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7434842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c3…340cbacked Alabama58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5735…8efdbacked Alabama58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…0c90backed Alabama66c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedba…441abacked Alabama67c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb7…e950backed Alabama58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101e…19cbbacked Alabama67c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3c…9b67backed Alabama67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765b…9162backed Alabama66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09eb…781cbacked Alabama67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef0…1324backed Alabama66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca15…8d16backed Florida54c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…00acbacked Alabama67c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4c…ea74backed Alabama71c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.