Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a762e189b9b9835db82bf6c821c324f38b0ec2ffdd7e1dd84871201c34174d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Punjab Kings, Royal Challengers Bengaluru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 47c | 815.45$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.26 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 2c | 781.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 15c | 625$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Punjab Kings | 49c | 539.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 10c | 526$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +121%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 49c | 522.12$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 391.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 207.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 52c | 191.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 191.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 141.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 139.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 102.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…f2b3backed Punjab Kings | 78c | 90.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 49c | 82.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bc85backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…3ac4backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 58.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…1ee2backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…47cebacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 51.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…d1ddbacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 39.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…9e52backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 37.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…ce77backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 30.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…f08cbacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…65acbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…c01bbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…cda7backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers BengaluruRoyal Challengers Bengaluru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.