Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e0141f3de1cc38907fc065b247dd8690f95e2834f38809acae899a5ba04771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 56c | 4,435$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.08 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0980…1306backed Over | 44c | 1,757$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 1,200$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 44c | 1,056$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.2 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked Over | 44c | 1,001$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Over | 44c | 909$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over | 45c | 532.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 502.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 56c | 377.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 44c | 261.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…11eabacked Over | 46c | 227.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad33…c45abacked Under | 56c | 191.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 148$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 44c | 135.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 65c | 64.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 50c | 52.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 43c | 34.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.