CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5fcd4724ba34d249622d8f0a0601024edd9d8a5a14f9ae932704ebac59329d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, BET-M 33
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked TDK | 63c | 3,685$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.54 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed BET-M 33 | 45c | 1,439$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked BET-M 33 | 47c | 1,157$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.61 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 30c | 1,075$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 39c | 990.23$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed TDK | 54c | 797.56$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.88 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed TDK | 62c | 713.43$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed BET-M 33 | 42c | 580.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed BET-M 33 | 33c | 577.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed BET-M 33 | 29c | 384.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BET-M 33 | 19c | 254.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed TDK | 63c | 193.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eec6backed TDK | 59c | 177.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked BET-M 33 | 16c | 170.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed TDK | 61c | 166.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed BET-M 33 | 18c | 142.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33 | 34c | 125.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 103.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BET-M 33 | 27c | 73.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 33 | 34c | 68.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed BET-M 33 | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked TDK | 75c | 35.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed TDK | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…30a9backed TDK | 78c | 28.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.