NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd600e1f05981de5b960dd7ec93197a4387c45260b7b35e22d0acf25a20e97ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Jets, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jets | 43c | 5,974$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.32 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sharks | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Jets | 43c | 2,494$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…7e28backed Sharks | 59c | 2,457$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…67c9backed Sharks | 58c | 2,077$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…23ebbacked Sharks | 58c | 1,598$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 57c | 1,413$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…e331backed Jets | 41c | 1,325$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…7465backed Jets | 41c | 1,132$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b3…ed48backed Jets | 42c | 1,056$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…219ebacked Jets | 42c | 1,021$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Sharks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…369fbacked Jets | 42c | 964$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sharks | 57c | 930$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…970bbacked Jets | 42c | 634$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Jets | 41c | 322.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sharks | 56c | 181.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Sharks | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Jets | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Jets | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Jets | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Sharks | 64c | 140.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 40c | 116.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Sharks | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Jets | 44c | 116$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Jets | 43c | 101.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sharks | 56c | 94.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sharks | 57c | 64.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Jets | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks | 56c | 36.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…cd3cbacked Sharks | 61c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. SharksSharks won
- Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.