Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida vs. Temple
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd675a36e057b987529177f88003d0e749003ec75027932c3493a0c257cf03bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Templeof South Florida, Temple
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked South Florida | 51c | 1,538$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.41 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Temple | 42c | 303.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.88 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Temple | 45c | 239$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…a599backed South Florida | 42c | 169$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…9338backed Temple | 58c | 149$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked South Florida | 54c | 139.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…5dfbbacked South Florida | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…8d1cbacked South Florida | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…c8eebacked Temple | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…0276backed Temple | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…54b6backed Temple | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdf…c7a2backed South Florida | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…5e51backed Temple | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…dfe3backed Temple | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…0287backed Temple | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x447c…583cbacked South Florida | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…ae06backed Temple | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…565dbacked South Florida | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…01b1backed South Florida | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…7903backed Temple | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…ed96backed Temple | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…f630backed South Florida | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…3f90backed Temple | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…6805backed Temple | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…3e44backed South Florida | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…5a93backed South Florida | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…cc79backed Temple | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…cbc9backed Temple | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…6674backed Temple | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…5cebbacked Temple | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…d25ebacked South Florida | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…34b9backed South Florida | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…1a2cbacked Temple | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…19bbbacked Temple | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…a22ebacked Temple | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddb…e06fbacked Temple | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…7a79backed Temple | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…dff1backed Temple | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…2c95backed Temple | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…cc2abacked Temple | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b952backed Temple | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…ff92backed Temple | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…d792backed Temple | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…7222backed Temple | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…54c4backed Temple | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…c689backed Temple | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…56f2backed Temple | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…a6afbacked Temple | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…3331backed Temple | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.