La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6da11ed30db8270e4d2a9e2d045ae786476e2add7b0be4453b1d596df0f15c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 63c | 69,680$44,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,191.74 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 69,354$25,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,981.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 61c | 689.08$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…1f13backed Over | 40c | 555$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Over | 30c | 540$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Under | 60c | 408.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 69c | 360$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 39c | 218.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 56c | 197.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 38c | 130.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 33c | 119.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 33c | 100.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 36c | 69.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90e…c7b6backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Under | 67c | 44.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…e373backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…dbccbacked Over | 67c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4c5bbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-0.5)Real Sociedad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.