CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6db2e0d93a9336e32bca3b9e27ba247e50c108c731d541503586bfc04f1f02a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2418…66c8backed RED Canids | 79c | 1,142$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.73 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 22c | 825.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fake do Biru | 11c | 640$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fake do Biru | 20c | 610.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Fake do Biru | 12c | 462.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fake do Biru | 20c | 447$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed RED Canids | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RED Canids | 79c | 223.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fake do Biru | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed RED Canids | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Fake do Biru | 21c | 149.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Fake do Biru | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerRED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fake do Biru (+1.5)RED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.