Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ricardo Horta record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7907bc8733238f5d943e9eaa89e32c3932b9533c37cf7a7d7652f79f155da44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2f…27afbacked No | 53c | 193.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…4f82backed No | 53c | 191.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…4ba4backed No | 53c | 183.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…60dcbacked No | 53c | 183.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…adbfbacked No | 53c | 182.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…c973backed No | 53c | 182.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…21b8backed No | 53c | 182.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…6f37backed No | 53c | 181.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…f70ebacked No | 53c | 180.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…c156backed No | 53c | 180.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd2…b38bbacked No | 53c | 180.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…e0fcbacked No | 53c | 180.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…2923backed No | 53c | 180.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…ccb4backed No | 53c | 178.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…f3d6backed No | 53c | 176.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 61c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ricardo Horta record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will Igor Jesus record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Petar Stanic record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.