Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ae930ce2e62765833ce4627224ba7a5bf439cb4204eef7e309d5643a87891c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.G Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Gen.G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 5,475$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 538.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 512.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gen.G Esports | 63c | 469.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 464.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Gen.G Esports | 56c | 392.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 3c | 330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Gen.G Esports | 66c | 304.23$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Bilibili Gaming | 8c | 221.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 220.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gen.G Esports | 64c | 164.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Gen.G Esports | 40c | 98.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 98.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 97.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Gen.G Esports | 66c | 90.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Gen.G Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed Gen.G Esports | 65c | 45.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 41.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Gen.G Esports | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Gen.G Esports | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c43…224cbacked Gen.G Esports | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Gen.G Esports | 66c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…5191backed Gen.G Esports | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.