Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) vs. Central Connecticut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b15251e2bbd1ac577f9f81d24b817d6307ac77dfba9289f3b1f2d205919b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticutof St. Francis (PA), Central Connecticut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fc3…f239backed Central Connecticut | 50c | 143$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…feffbacked Central Connecticut | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…b468backed Central Connecticut | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…9345backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked St. Francis (PA) | 12c | 86.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…5ca7backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Central Connecticut | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…8dcbbacked St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…8ae2backed Central Connecticut | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…b8e1backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…3c41backed St. Francis (PA) | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…9d15backed St. Francis (PA) | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…8044backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8299…e38bbacked Central Connecticut | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…4f91backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…91d3backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…9b11backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…75e8backed Central Connecticut | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…439cbacked St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb677…6db4backed Central Connecticut | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…7e5bbacked Central Connecticut | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…10e1backed St. Francis (PA) | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c6…82d8backed St. Francis (PA) | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf4…b680backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…3035backed Central Connecticut | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…397cbacked Central Connecticut | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…8f53backed St. Francis (PA) | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…9254backed St. Francis (PA) | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…9ad0backed St. Francis (PA) | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…e954backed Central Connecticut | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf670…7037backed Central Connecticut | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…12c7backed St. Francis (PA) | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…39fbbacked St. Francis (PA) | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b29…1266backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…2b90backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…79d4backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…9e68backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…099bbacked Central Connecticut | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…fd27backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.