Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7c4239c1ac399e2bae4923b10a61005013e98bc2b381875f4f2c951617681d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 6,292$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 43c | 843.97$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.91 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 555.18$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 480.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 464.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 385.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 277$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 249.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 59c | 217$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 169.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 153.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 146.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 137.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 45c | 125.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b9…7575backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Yes | 55c | 63.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 60c | 59.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 59.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 61c | 58.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 52.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…307dbacked Yes | 61c | 40.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 38c | 27.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 54c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.