TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Queens vs. North Alabama

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Alabamaof Queens, North Alabama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7fc…770cbacked Queens26c234$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.841266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2323…3e4ebacked Queens21c204$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5b…8f5cbacked Queens21c182$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…fa90backed North Alabama79c166$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8f…c7dabacked Queens21c151$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e5…c0fbbacked North Alabama79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ba…cff6backed North Alabama74c105$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ea…ad1dbacked Queens21c93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc751…4121backed Queens21c86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf21…9ed8backed North Alabama79c83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6341…5b26backed North Alabama79c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf468…6638backed North Alabama79c57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c9…ffa7backed Queens22c52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bc…4fd7backed North Alabama79c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…702dbacked North Alabama79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb526…abebbacked North Alabama79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7441…233cbacked North Alabama79c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab9…3d6dbacked North Alabama79c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c7d…7f1abacked North Alabama74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e9…15fcbacked North Alabama79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1681…00aebacked North Alabama74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…8900backed North Alabama79c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x494f…f53bbacked North Alabama78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef1…b97bbacked North Alabama74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c5e8backed North Alabama74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd125…30e7backed North Alabama79c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd0…167fbacked North Alabama74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…29febacked North Alabama74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe057…24c2backed North Alabama74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…b745backed North Alabama79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df8…e583backed North Alabama79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26d…904ebacked North Alabama79c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…7fbdbacked North Alabama78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+202.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.