Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers vs. Purdue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda24a67ed875bdc30b29893613df7fde102c7c67feddd84e9f01abe9f844be91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdueof Rutgers, Purdue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Purdue | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…3f70backed Rutgers | 13c | 186$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…8b7abacked Rutgers | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…ebeabacked Rutgers | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…eaecbacked Rutgers | 17c | 103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…34a5backed Rutgers | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…2562backed Rutgers | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…3fefbacked Rutgers | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8067…600dbacked Rutgers | 17c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…e9b7backed Rutgers | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rutgers | 16c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…6f5dbacked Rutgers | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c3c0backed Purdue | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…b101backed Rutgers | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…7009backed Purdue | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…c909backed Rutgers | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…96bbbacked Rutgers | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…5b75backed Purdue | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…b2a1backed Purdue | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…85d7backed Purdue | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.