Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming vs. Fresno State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda35d428577a3bb9e13b860de4604498c3496da0faa011421c0909daedeec5f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno Stateof Wyoming, Fresno State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ab2…05c7backed Wyoming | 50c | 424$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73d…0b78backed Fresno State | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…bbd0backed Wyoming | 54c | 307$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ec2dbacked Fresno State | 50c | 251$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3130…f2cbbacked Wyoming | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c64…7259backed Wyoming | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…379fbacked Fresno State | 50c | 195$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…a470backed Fresno State | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…4a6abacked Fresno State | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…c5a9backed Fresno State | 46c | 133$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…19e1backed Fresno State | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…1872backed Fresno State | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…c553backed Fresno State | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…759bbacked Fresno State | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…7bc0backed Wyoming | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…4bf0backed Wyoming | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…e77abacked Fresno State | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…5078backed Wyoming | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…8624backed Fresno State | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…f0adbacked Wyoming | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…579dbacked Wyoming | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…90cebacked Wyoming | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b149backed Fresno State | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…a791backed Wyoming | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa542…b099backed Wyoming | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…20fbbacked Wyoming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf818…eb08backed Wyoming | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff2…ce78backed Fresno State | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…bbfbbacked Wyoming | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…c564backed Wyoming | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…e9f5backed Wyoming | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…5ce3backed Fresno State | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…a71ebacked Fresno State | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…f556backed Fresno State | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…1e29backed Wyoming | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8916…addebacked Wyoming | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b9…569fbacked Fresno State | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…9bffbacked Wyoming | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…591fbacked Fresno State | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…bff6backed Fresno State | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…67a1backed Wyoming | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…b0c0backed Fresno State | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bb…b31cbacked Wyoming | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…c309backed Fresno State | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb0…e022backed Wyoming | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…22e1backed Wyoming | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc18…aeb9backed Wyoming | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…ba2abacked Fresno State | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f9…924abacked Wyoming | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7d…cc85backed Wyoming | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…f773backed Fresno State | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…d7e7backed Fresno State | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…3e38backed Wyoming | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…957ebacked Fresno State | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…ab79backed Fresno State | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…6450backed Wyoming | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…3cc7backed Wyoming | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…b239backed Fresno State | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…1a97backed Wyoming | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d2…836ebacked Wyoming | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…fc71backed Wyoming | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…6646backed Wyoming | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…4286backed Fresno State | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8360…d0afbacked Fresno State | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…ae70backed Fresno State | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…cbc8backed Fresno State | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…9c70backed Wyoming | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…ba69backed Fresno State | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a4…4f9ebacked Wyoming | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…cf7cbacked Wyoming | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…c206backed Fresno State | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…a212backed Fresno State | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9889backed Wyoming | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…a6e7backed Wyoming | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…6b8dbacked Wyoming | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ece…4573backed Fresno State | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…946dbacked Wyoming | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…4b2ebacked Wyoming | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…5128backed Wyoming | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…c59ebacked Fresno State | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…78b5backed Wyoming | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.