La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaaffe017db5fa214ab08bbd3f516d2c4f4220fe6c97fb699312b30a9fd6125e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 2c | 2,035$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 60c | 813.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.49 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 22c | 705.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 497.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 75c | 253.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed No | 59c | 165.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 164.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 125.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7549backed Yes | 36c | 76.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 16c | 71.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 70.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 59c | 70.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 59c | 70.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 59c | 70.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 59c | 70.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 59c | 70.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 59c | 70.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 59c | 67.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 53.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Yes | 36c | 49.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 70c | 38.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 73c | 24.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 78c | 24.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 78c | 23.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked No | 70c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 79c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed No | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.