Cricket · resolved market
BPL: Noakhali vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb3145b4d629c767df370beba590e3349b39ae3cc76c261d383ca6be4f6e3c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noakhaliof Noakhali, Rangpur Riders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Rangpur Riders | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Noakhali | 23c | 350$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Noakhali | 29c | 260$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Rangpur Riders | 55c | 218.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Rangpur Riders | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rangpur Riders | 67c | 152.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rangpur Riders | 52c | 122.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Noakhali | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…707abacked Noakhali | 47c | 56.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Noakhali | 40c | 40.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Rangpur Riders | 56c | 30.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Rangpur Riders | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Noakhali | 75c | 28.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.