CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb0f9b3c4ebb43dd8f7658378e234a79ad1943e6ed223142877190acf32fd51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaleido Gamingof SemperFi Esports, Kaleido Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed SemperFi Esports | 53c | 1,885$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.63 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 1,812$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.16 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed SemperFi Esports | 60c | 833.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed SemperFi Esports | 66c | 694.57$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.42 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 448.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaleido Gaming | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 272.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 187.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed SemperFi Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SemperFi Esports | 60c | 99.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 98.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 95.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 71.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Kaleido Gaming | 33c | 64.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed SemperFi Esports | 69c | 52.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SemperFi Esports | 47c | 49.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed SemperFi Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group BKaleido Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 2 WinnerKaleido Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.