CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd4ff146cec75d28a14cc2cf0b17ba605a63eab9c3c7cc04a492bc24a9fecf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,752 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 1,145$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Isurus | 14c | 1,029$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 14c | 621.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Isurus | 24c | 618.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 503.77$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Isurus | 34c | 453.22$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Isurus | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Isurus | 35c | 261.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Isurus | 33c | 198$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Isurus | 18c | 193$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Isurus | 8c | 163.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Isurus | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Isurus | 28c | 156$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Isurus | 14c | 131.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 18c | 130.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Isurus | 33c | 88.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Isurus | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 83.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Isurus | 34c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Isurus | 27c | 57.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Isurus | 29c | 40.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…ad3fbacked Isurus | 35c | 36.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.