TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ground Zero Gamingof Deep Cross Gaming, Ground Zero Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec54…e8c1backed Ground Zero Gaming52c5,079$2,620 inWon+$2,459.51,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Deep Cross Gaming48c4,147$1,990 inLost-$1,990.411,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ground Zero Gaming52c2,000$1,050 inWon+$9501,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Deep Cross Gaming45c1,671$752 inLost-$751.751,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Deep Cross Gaming50c1,202$601 inLost-$600.8982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Ground Zero Gaming55c888$488 inWon+$399.61,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Deep Cross Gaming50c799.88$400 inLost-$399.7544451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Ground Zero Gaming51c386.84$197 inWon+$189.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Deep Cross Gaming49c251.39$123 inLost-$123.1817241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Deep Cross Gaming45c222.44$100 inLost-$1008440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Deep Cross Gaming49c200$98 inLost-$9875738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ground Zero Gaming51c175.96$91 inWon+$85.3560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ground Zero Gaming51c150.99$77 inWon+$73.6179745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Deep Cross Gaming49c101.02$49 inLost-$49.532053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Deep Cross Gaming49c100$49 inLost-$4958437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Ground Zero Gaming51c69$35 inWon+$33.8153649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Ground Zero Gaming51c65$33 inWon+$31.774637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Deep Cross Gaming50c54.52$27 inLost-$27.0632050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Deep Cross Gaming50c30$15 inLost-$1579345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.