CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf198f4e7badb18839de47ebd4c53d96ef3cb2cecd0ab938f444b8526a34a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 3,749$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.92 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked HyperSpirit | 16c | 2,190$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 18c | 1,398$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HyperSpirit | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 698.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 2c | 635.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 525$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 74c | 316.82$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked HyperSpirit | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked HyperSpirit | 16c | 134.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked HyperSpirit | 17c | 128.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 128$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 125.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HyperSpirit | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked ECSTATIC | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked HyperSpirit | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed ECSTATIC | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.