Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Detroit Mercy vs. Northern Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd6bc37cf470ceaca3f0ef2d53c7565c4af2a7d3e6bf0b69012b317739df4b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentuckyof Detroit Mercy, Northern Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…e348backed Detroit Mercy | 11c | 401$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Northern Kentucky | 61c | 354$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Mercy | 9c | 275$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5b…566fbacked Detroit Mercy | 12c | 246$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…4b3cbacked Detroit Mercy | 11c | 134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…fa31backed Detroit Mercy | 11c | 127$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…9206backed Detroit Mercy | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…b101backed Detroit Mercy | 21c | 107$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…fc71backed Detroit Mercy | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…670ebacked Detroit Mercy | 19c | 102$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…fa21backed Detroit Mercy | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…aa94backed Northern Kentucky | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…bb64backed Detroit Mercy | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…70eebacked Detroit Mercy | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…ba1bbacked Detroit Mercy | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…6a69backed Detroit Mercy | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…970abacked Northern Kentucky | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…517fbacked Northern Kentucky | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…fa19backed Northern Kentucky | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…bcd9backed Northern Kentucky | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…5a25backed Northern Kentucky | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…f8d5backed Northern Kentucky | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…5120backed Northern Kentucky | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.