CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddc0926d29001604cd7252312a005cb91da499f23fd94ae5793350280836eeff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,157 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 1,310$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked los kogutos | 20c | 683.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 32c | 583.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 411.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 356.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 294.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed los kogutos | 57c | 285.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 237.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked los kogutos | 25c | 192$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed los kogutos | 25c | 183$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed los kogutos | 32c | 150.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed los kogutos | 21c | 144$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked los kogutos | 21c | 137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed los kogutos | 24c | 111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked los kogutos | 26c | 106.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked los kogutos | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked los kogutos | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed los kogutos | 45c | 84.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked los kogutos | 46c | 82.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed los kogutos | 22c | 73.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 60.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…da39backed los kogutos | 33c | 54.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 53.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 52.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…3b56backed los kogutos | 32c | 46.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 42.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed los kogutos | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 37.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked los kogutos | 41c | 36.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 36.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…5228backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 32.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed los kogutos | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed los kogutos | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…8c1cbacked los kogutos | 61c | 24.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…48a3backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos - Map 2 Winnerlos kogutos won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs los kogutos (+1.5)los kogutos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.