NHL · resolved market
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1f86440f5d36beae2887cbebb35e465969417746919489e694d0a4943e83b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Admiralsof Milwaukee Admirals, Grand Rapids Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1488…0672backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 117$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Milwaukee Admirals | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 31.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.