South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde27c61d7f0491ba8525d980c1371f9d4c02ab26fb075a9b8ffafb9583d695cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 15,040$7,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.11 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 58c | 11,154$6,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.13 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 8,600$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 7,255$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 50c | 6,801$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.7 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 5,357$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.97 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.67 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 3,366$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.04 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 1,543$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 40c | 1,060$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.41 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 50c | 999.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 51c | 917$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 841.48$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.84 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 781$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 40c | 501.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 51c | 449.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 51c | 422.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 25c | 399$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed No | 75c | 390$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 41c | 308.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 16c | 302.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 266.54$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 188.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 39c | 124.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked No | 13c | 117.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Yes | 51c | 112.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Yes | 51c | 110.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 51c | 103.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 91.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked No | 41c | 85.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Yes | 51c | 76.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 76.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 78c | 71.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 62c | 59.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed No | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 45c | 52.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Yes | 50c | 51.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed No | 40c | 41.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 51c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…5ea3backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…c78abacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Yes | 74c | 24.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Yes | 79c | 16.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.