Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4331bdaec9a0d6e8ca860b1f64d337a9978c1a66617ed6a6aea420d2ac2a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairleigh Dickinsonof Chicago State, Fairleigh Dickinson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce21…7738backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…570ebacked Chicago State | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…322cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…5342backed Chicago State | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…3566backed Chicago State | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 60c | 44.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…263cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…dd91backed Chicago State | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…f20abacked Chicago State | 31c | 33.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…a197backed Chicago State | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…9948backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…f787backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9d37backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…3c06backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…b4f2backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…8fbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bc4ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb486…ad05backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…54c5backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 69c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509a…0edfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…2bbbbacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…1629backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…460ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…1320backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…2d78backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.