Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tomova (-1.5) vs Brady (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde57f3cb120f224f3da38afe6b0ed9f909fcda8bb18ddd994d988d923a5728f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomovaof Tomova, Brady
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x100c…1c2cbacked Tomova | 49c | 1,196$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Tomova | 61c | 479.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tomova | 37c | 317.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Brady | 38c | 240.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brady | 49c | 211.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Brady | 63c | 156.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Brady | 63c | 156.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…614cbacked Brady | 49c | 130.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tomova | 46c | 114.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Tomova | 43c | 97.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Tomova | 48c | 80.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Brady | 66c | 74.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Tomova | 58c | 50.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…2bc9backed Brady | 50c | 25.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brady | 58c | 24.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Tomova | 42c | 24.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tomova (-1.5) vs Brady (+1.5)this page
- Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer BradyViktoriya Tomova won
- Set 1 Winner: Tomova vs BradyTomova won
- Tomova vs. Brady: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Viktoriya Tomova vs. Jennifer Brady: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.