Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. Milwaukee Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde58a93b6fd804f2cc5d7d97db2630ca73c63d088553b620e4c84784d9bc9523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Panthersof Little Rock Trojans, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Little Rock Trojans | 38c | 118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…3d16backed Milwaukee Panthers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…a978backed Little Rock Trojans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…595bbacked Little Rock Trojans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…e088backed Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 37c | 98.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Panthers | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Milwaukee Panthers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 63c | 31.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.