South American Leagues · resolved market
Carabobo FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde7d01d619eb2e7e6e57c7d6790bfefc44ac04b34ebb6914ba4d21670137ef22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 6,642$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.54 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,674$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,551$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 65c | 1,341$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.95 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 1,224$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.89 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 62c | 951.59$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.6 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Under | 32c | 723.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 546.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 469.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 202.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 68c | 165$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 75c | 132.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…db07backed Over | 50c | 126.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 116.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 30c | 108.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 31c | 100.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 70c | 99.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 46c | 95.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 88.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 47c | 88.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 74.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Under | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 64c | 56.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 46c | 47.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 40c | 32.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Over | 47c | 27.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…ae27backed Under | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Over | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Carabobo FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5this page
- Carabobo FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Carabobo FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Carabobo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.