Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde969ea8da3d2802d308258dca4f6d057434d0f58dd8ee53926a6d293a676526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 1,251$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 1,084$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 314.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 70c | 261.21$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked No | 69c | 237.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 208.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Yes | 11c | 193.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 186$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 29c | 174.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 22c | 173.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 148.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 77c | 134.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 34c | 117.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 27c | 64.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 50.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.