Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri vs. Georgia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec05a35352aed8970f09a76e9f32a71c5aa4b311b63330c849bb5c745e867f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouriof Missouri, Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d46…bb70backed Georgia | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…6214backed Missouri | 56c | 298$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…e82bbacked Missouri | 52c | 198$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…44b1backed Georgia | 48c | 129$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…2971backed Missouri | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…c6b1backed Georgia | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…94a2backed Missouri | 56c | 79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…4748backed Georgia | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…dc74backed Missouri | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…fcd3backed Missouri | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780e…3d35backed Georgia | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…3764backed Georgia | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…1363backed Georgia | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…bc20backed Missouri | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Georgia | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Missouri | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…22c3backed Missouri | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…91a7backed Missouri | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…a0b5backed Georgia | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Georgia | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Missouri | 53c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Georgia | 47c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Missouri | 55c | 26.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…da45backed Georgia | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.