Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeca06d82fca93f537af7fa9be62a6b9703454d30e76170ab894cbd8d253693f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof ALIS VENTORUS, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 771.05$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 25c | 749.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed ALIS VENTORUS | 72c | 550$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Power Rangers | 80c | 519.2$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Power Rangers | 28c | 240.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.26 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 26c | 232.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 21c | 222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed ALIS VENTORUS | 24c | 198.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 76c | 195.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ALIS VENTORUS | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 14c | 99.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Power Rangers | 74c | 90.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 75c | 74.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers | 75c | 71.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Power Rangers | 76c | 33.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Power Rangers | 74c | 28.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.