CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legion vs DEPO (BO3) - PGL Astana: West Asia Closer Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1b75e64c3656a463d6735d7502521155008552d1f5fa4a48916d511f00fbd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DEPOof Legion, DEPO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed DEPO | 63c | 2,303$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.63 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed Legion | 38c | 1,094$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Legion | 38c | 709.55$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legion | 37c | 590$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed DEPO | 62c | 466.05$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DEPO | 62c | 335.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DEPO | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…30c1backed Legion | 39c | 161.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Legion | 39c | 125.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Legion | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed DEPO | 65c | 41.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Legion | 38c | 39.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Legion | 35c | 38.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Legion | 38c | 37.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Legion | 38c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked DEPO | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…3659backed DEPO | 66c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed DEPO | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.