Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Kentucky vs. North Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfa39efe9eddf79ee4fc12d2ed61a8ec13c847f3ddf3a23d3ab6c1d2bf02972a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Kentuckyof Eastern Kentucky, North Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda49…9de7backed North Florida | 50c | 287$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…7d99backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…d835backed North Florida | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…5934backed North Florida | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…dfe3backed North Florida | 56c | 106$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…3ae6backed North Florida | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…31ddbacked Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…0276backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…8817backed North Florida | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f9…a1debacked North Florida | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…9e6cbacked Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…1717backed North Florida | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…596cbacked Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…6b89backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…eb94backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…b6a0backed North Florida | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…92b1backed Eastern Kentucky | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…89d5backed Eastern Kentucky | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed North Florida | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…9e70backed Eastern Kentucky | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0de…5872backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…e031backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…881abacked Eastern Kentucky | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…65f7backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…722bbacked Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…8923backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…ea21backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…e64fbacked Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…080bbacked North Florida | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…2ce8backed North Florida | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…4086backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…ea1dbacked North Florida | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3a…7c66backed North Florida | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b3…bfc7backed North Florida | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…3c77backed North Florida | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…28e1backed Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3411…ce3bbacked Eastern Kentucky | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.