CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe056e4baf86c783481697f451a89aa1b5452808181fa891224b0740b2ba4e44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 1,516$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.44 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…da05backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 1,120$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 71c | 1,048$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 77c | 1,031$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed METANOIA WOLVES | 2c | 854.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 642.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 626.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Keyd | 72c | 424.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 78c | 372.74$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 74c | 367.46$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Keyd | 70c | 316.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 177.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 165.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Keyd | 74c | 163.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 143.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 117.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 72c | 99.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Keyd | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 66c | 58.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Keyd | 74c | 58.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Keyd | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 73c | 25.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Keyd | 74c | 24.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…0020backed Keyd | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)METANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.