Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb vs. Austin Peay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe184fab701ea45e2ccaa1e954165c843174212d0bd43bbdce3f74957eecfdc85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lipscombof Lipscomb, Austin Peay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb617…85a6backed Austin Peay | 24c | 464$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0413…03c5backed Lipscomb | 76c | 152$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…9c4cbacked Austin Peay | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…087bbacked Lipscomb | 76c | 122$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…33b0backed Lipscomb | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…511abacked Austin Peay | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…04e6backed Austin Peay | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8b…e9f0backed Lipscomb | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…809abacked Austin Peay | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…dd92backed Austin Peay | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…b101backed Lipscomb | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lipscomb | 73c | 37.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…4908backed Lipscomb | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…923bbacked Lipscomb | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…604dbacked Lipscomb | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…9c4fbacked Lipscomb | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…2b3fbacked Lipscomb | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…1311backed Lipscomb | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…f4e3backed Lipscomb | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…5314backed Lipscomb | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.