TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Knokke-Heist: Irina Balus vs Jenny Lim

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Irina Balusof Irina Balus, Jenny Lim
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Jenny Lim18c1,940$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Jenny Lim8c1,462$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9617818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jenny Lim15c1,160$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.868,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Irina Balus62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Jenny Lim12c483$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9614254.9%78 W · 64 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Irina Balus59c394.67$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6746255.8%258 W · 204 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef6…c784backed Jenny Lim46c140.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4717843.3%77 W · 101 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Irina Balus56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4457449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jenny Lim43c60.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.613,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Irina Balus56c50.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.281,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+48.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jenny Lim24c49.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.918,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e84…1c33backed Irina Balus57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Jenny Lim30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Irina Balus69c38.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Irina Balus55c29.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.227,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Irina Balus58c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6632545.2%147 W · 178 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Irina Balus71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131,03654.2%562 W · 474 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Irina Balus49c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4158045.5%264 W · 316 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.