CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe24e218c177e457255d510d951f8c0216586f7c00d7a9f4ffdc61395dd0c03db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Favbet | 64c | 7,186$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.68 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 3,583$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.09 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire | 2c | 837.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…7eebbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 384.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Eternal Fire | 16c | 135$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Eternal Fire | 10c | 122.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Favbet | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Eternal Fire | 21c | 87.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…00e8backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…9daabacked Favbet | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…5955backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.