Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Island University vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c4f586ebd2e1d779b826c11b9f8d26b3bf45f020d964b884f9e9e449a3547e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Long Island Universityof Long Island University, Fairleigh Dickinson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a08…c9d6backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 50c | 277$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43be…827bbacked Long Island University | 50c | 243$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…b57abacked Long Island University | 50c | 226$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784c…ba28backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…8929backed Long Island University | 50c | 211$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…d32cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…5ae4backed Long Island University | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…442ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…1a75backed Long Island University | 50c | 175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…9988backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 29c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…cce0backed Fairleigh Dickinson | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…cc6bbacked Long Island University | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…04fabacked Long Island University | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…9072backed Long Island University | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1c6abacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…be8abacked Fairleigh Dickinson | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…c33abacked Long Island University | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca26…4292backed Long Island University | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…5b1abacked Long Island University | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…bf2dbacked Long Island University | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…6d9fbacked Long Island University | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.