Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama vs. Southern Mississippi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e84ae2e3c5f198bc46961b433a847cefe3d1b478f5fb128bb9fed3a57fc4e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabamaof South Alabama, Southern Mississippi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Mississippi | 27c | 571$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed South Alabama | 72c | 299$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…c12fbacked Southern Mississippi | 29c | 259$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…ff73backed Southern Mississippi | 26c | 257$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…87c5backed Southern Mississippi | 28c | 247$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…ddd9backed South Alabama | 74c | 233$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…679cbacked South Alabama | 71c | 182$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…0a3dbacked South Alabama | 72c | 147$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…8f64backed Southern Mississippi | 28c | 122$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…5dfbbacked Southern Mississippi | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…2178backed Southern Mississippi | 26c | 83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…15e2backed Southern Mississippi | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…54b6backed South Alabama | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…b855backed South Alabama | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…601bbacked South Alabama | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d05…61b8backed South Alabama | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…8806backed Southern Mississippi | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…5bbabacked South Alabama | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…67abbacked South Alabama | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…fceebacked South Alabama | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…8256backed Southern Mississippi | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…f260backed Southern Mississippi | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…d792backed Southern Mississippi | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00b…a010backed South Alabama | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…abebbacked South Alabama | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…b55cbacked South Alabama | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…70d9backed South Alabama | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…6de4backed South Alabama | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…2341backed South Alabama | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…6674backed South Alabama | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f9…3bb9backed South Alabama | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…a817backed South Alabama | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…a56bbacked South Alabama | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…5c9dbacked South Alabama | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…7a60backed South Alabama | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…5916backed South Alabama | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…2b37backed South Alabama | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…f8aebacked South Alabama | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…8c73backed South Alabama | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…f321backed South Alabama | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…76ccbacked South Alabama | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6838…77b0backed South Alabama | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…1998backed South Alabama | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.