South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe30a3be10ad9ddbaa086fbce19724d37e2342ae853485bd57132b1643e610fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,331 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 442$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…463dbacked Under | 26c | 313.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…e39abacked Over | 74c | 313.91$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 284.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 76c | 223.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 74c | 194.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 42c | 35.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 64c | 34.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.