NHL · resolved market
AHL: Calgary Wranglers vs. Abbotsford Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe347f2d2f6cdd5c2c1cb51b5877af0f8d0300eed5402e6daf3ca91c57040308f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Calgary Wranglersof Calgary Wranglers, Abbotsford Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf11…c85ebacked Calgary Wranglers | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…91cebacked Abbotsford Canucks | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…ed36backed Abbotsford Canucks | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…905dbacked Calgary Wranglers | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Abbotsford Canucks | 38c | 52.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b0…4b50backed Calgary Wranglers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Calgary Wranglers | 56c | 33.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…bb69backed Abbotsford Canucks | 44c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.